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Tuesday, 29 December 2015

I was right about Noble

In my previous post about Noble here , I wrote that Noble is performing badly with a bad ROE and a bad D/E ratio. When these 2 ratios are faring badly, the company is heading for disaster.

But that's not the worse. The worse is- the commodities market is NOT showing any signs of improvement at all. When the industry is not improving, how can Noble's financials start to improve? Not to forget, it needs to continue paying its debt.

Today, Noble shares were cut to junk by Moody's.

"The worsening year-long rout in commodities, which has punished prices of raw materials that Noble handles from oil to copper, has overshadowed cost-cutting plans and will likely hurt access to funding and challenge its profitability, it said."

Noble's share price has now dropped to 0.41.

Please do not think it is 'Cheap'.

Stocks look cheap because the prices have dropped since its high time.

HOWEVER, there are always reasons what caused the price to drop and majority of the time, these reasons are due to valid rational decision thinking by the elite traders and banks.

Only very occasionally, very miraculously, will share price experience a sudden irrational emotionally driven drop in price. That will mean the price is 'undervalued' beyond a reasonable doubt. And yes, it certainly won't last long for such price to continue.

Remember, investment is certainly not a gamble. Much research and hard work is needed.

If you cannot resist the temptation to make money quickly, you are bound to lose a lot in the stock market.


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